Prognostic Value of Tumor Volume Assessment on PSMA PET After 177Lu-PSMA Radioligand Therapy Evaluated by PSMA PET/CT Consensus Statement and RECIP 1.0

‍Background: Quantitative evaluation of prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA)-targeting PET/CT remains challenging but is urgently needed for the use of standardized PET-based response criteria, such as the PSMA PET/CT consensus statement or Response Evaluation Criteria in PSMA PET/CT (RECIP 1.0). A recent study evaluated the prognostic value of whole-body tumor volume using a semiautomatic method relying on a 50% threshold of lesion SUVmax (PSMATV50). In the present study, we analyzed the suitability of this approach comparing 18F-PSMA-1007 with 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT scans and the potential of PSMATV50 for the prediction of overall survival (OS) in patients before 177Lu-PSMA radioligand therapy (RLT). Moreover, PSMATV50 was integrated into the PSMA PET/CT consensus statement as well as RECIP 1.0, and the prognostic value of these response classification systems was compared. 

Methods: This retrospective study included 70 patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer undergoing PSMA RLT. Thirty-three patients were monitored by 68Ga-PSMA-11 PET/CT, and 37 patients by 18F-PSMA-1007 PET/CT. PET/CT scans before (baseline) and at the end of PSMA RLT after 2-4 cycles (follow-up) were separately analyzed by 2 readers. PSMATV50 at baseline and its change at the time of follow-up (ΔPSMATV50, expressed as a ratio) were correlated with OS using Cox proportional-hazards regression. The results of both subgroups were compared. The integration of ΔPSMATV50 in existing response classification systems was evaluated. To assess and compare the discriminatory strength of these classification systems, Gönen and Heller concordance probability estimates were calculated. 

Results: PSMATV50 determination was technically feasible in all examinations. A higher PSMATV50 at baseline and a higher ΔPSMATV50 were strongly associated with a shorter OS for both 68Ga-PSMA-11 (PSMATV50: hazard ratio [HR] of 1.29 [95% CI, 1.05-1.55], P = 0.009; ΔPSMATV50: HR of 1.83 [95% CI, 1.08-3.09], P = 0.024) and 18F-PSMA-1007 (PSMATV50: HR of 1.84 [95% CI, 1.13-2.99], P = 0.014; ΔPSMATV50: HR of 1.23 [95% CI, 1.04-1.51], P = 0.03). Response assessment provided high discriminatory power for OS for the PSMA PET/CT consensus statement (concordance probability estimate, 0.73) as well as RECIP 1.0 (concordance probability estimate, 0.74). 

Conclusion: PSMATV50 and ΔPSMATV50 proved to be predictive of OS not only for 68Ga-PSMA-11 but also for 18F-PSMA-1007 PET/CT scans. Subsequent integration of ΔPSMATV50 into the PSMA PET/CT consensus statement and RECIP 1.0 provided equally high prognostic value for both classification systems.